NHL Picks, Fri 1/17. This season: + $12 280 (236-193-43)

[Mathemagician]

Today’s investments:

Chicago -0.5 +110 / estimate -103 / wager $300
Atlanta ML +150 / estimate +131 / wager $300

Car - NJ Under 4.5 +100 / estimate -133 / wager $100


Click here for Mathemagician’s detailed track record and more information for NHL 2002-2003

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Mathemagician’s analysis is based on many years experience of odds making in NHL and other sports. Methods used in odds making process include careful pre-season analysis, continuous measuring of each teams abilities using power ratings and considering the daily news in each individual game.

The pre-season analysis includes mathematical and statistical analysis and determination of the changes caused by the transactions. The power rating database is always updated after each game and every published estimate is adjusted to consider injuries, fatigue caused by the schedule, different motivations and many other factors.

The pick is profitable in the long run only if the current price is higher than the estimate. Otherwise the bet is not worth placing.

 

[clayborg]

if i understand how you recomend plays, then you do not actually think that atlanta will win tonight, is this correct?

 

You're correct Clayborg, he just believes it's profitable to bet Atlanta with that kind of odds in a long run.
If you have to show profit tomorrow it's maybe better to pass this one. We just love estimations and percents here in Finland and giving out numbers and phrase "in a long run" it also looks a little bit professional.

 

[jofl]

Personally I prefer to have a profit in the long run than some quick cash for tomorrow.
Atlanta is not the favourite but at +150 it is the profitable pick. Does the word value mean anything to you guys?